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San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Friday

San Antonio Spurs face Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 6, with the Spurs leading 3-2. Get expert betting tips and predictions.

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Editorial Team
May 16, 2026
14 min read
The No. 2 seed San Antonio Spurs (62-20, 29-12 away) face the No. 6 Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33, 26-15 at home) in Game 6 of the Western Conference Semifinals. The Spurs lead the series 3-2. We’re Confident Spurs Will Get Job Done Don’t miss out on the chance to side with the Spurs at -4.5 on the spread. On the face of it, this seems a more than generous betting line and 1.85 can be backed against the Wolves. Spurs 126-97 Winners When Teams Last Met San Antonio Spurs and Minnesota Timberwolves met on Tuesday night, with the Spurs registering a 126-97 victory at Frost Bank Center. Victor Wembanyama bagged 27 points and 17 rebounds for the Spurs, while Keldon Johnson scored 21 points and De'Aaron Fox 18. Anthony Edwards managed 20 points for the Wolves, Jaden McDaniels had 17, with Julius Randle racking up 17 points and 10 rebounds. Head-to-Head Statistics The Wolves have won six of the previous 10 H2H meetings. NBA Reg. Season W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W View Full Standings San Antonio Spurs – Last 10 Games 7 wins and 3 losses in the past 10 games. The Spurs are averaging 114.7 points, 46.3 rebounds, 24.4 assists, 9.0 steals and 7.7 blocks while shooting 48.4% from the field and 77.2% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 101.8 points and 43.7 rebounds per contest. Stephon Castle is averaging 18.7 points and 6.1 assists, while Victor Wembanyama averages 10.1 rebounds and Julian Champagnie 2.4 (45.3%) 3-pointers made. Minnesota Timberwolves – Last 10 Games The Wolves have won 6 and lost 4 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 108.5 points, 47.4 rebounds, 23.3 assists, 6.1 steals and 3.6 blocks per game while shooting 44.2% from the field and 74.7% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 111.4 points and 42.4 rebounds. Julius Randle is averaging 17.3 points and 3.1 assists, while Rudy Gobert has an average of 9.9 rebounds and Naz Reid 1.8 (39.1%) 3-pointers made. Discover our expert San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves betting tips, featuring a key match prediction, correct score suggestion, top player prop picks and bet builder advice. Scroll down for full analysis. Game Prediction Our best pick is to snap up the 1.85 that Spurs are able to cover the spread. They are -4.5 for this NBA matchup and the margin of victory for the favorites could be a good deal more significant. The formbook is always a smart starting point when making basketball picks. Up-to-date NBA team news is just as important, while the stats we provide often reveal valuable insights. Key Spurs vs Timberwolves stats: The -4.5 line has been covered by Spurs in 8 of their last 10 games on the road. The -4.5 line has been covered by Spurs in 15 of their last 20 games. The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Wolves in 3 of their last 5 games. Spurs -4.5 Probability The best NBA betting sites imply that our pick has a 54.1% prospect of winning. Our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager. Looking for Bigger Odds? If you’re searching for bigger odds when it comes to the Spurs covering the line, then consider a Bet Builder. This allows you to load additional selections to your wager. Elevate your wagering experience with the latest free bets, promos and top betting offers listed in our comprehensive bonus guide. Our Game Prediction Spurs -4.5 @ 1.85 Bet Now Stake Promo 200% up to $2000 + 5% Rakeback Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+ Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 15, 08:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly. Published 08:02, 15 May 2026 Player Prop Picks Victor Wembanyama (Spurs) has totaled an average of 20 points in the past 5 games. Using this stat, we’re happy to take the 1.94 when it comes to him failing to cover the line on Player Points. Latest Victor Wembanyama Player Prop Odds Devin Vassell (Spurs) has racked up Over 2.5 assists in 4 straight games on the road. You can secure betting odds of 2.15 that he is able to cover the line, with this Player Assists wager making appeal. Latest Devin Vassell Player Prop Odds Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly. Same Game Parlay Picks Spread Spurs -4.5 Totals Over 218.5 Player Points Victor Wembanyama Under 26.5 We’ve loaded up a same game parlay with the combined picks of Spurs -4.5, Over 218.5 and Victor Wembanyama (Spurs) to score Under 26.5 points. The same game parlay option is great for basketball bettors wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined. Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly. Correct Score Prediction If you want to achieve a big return from your stake, then it’s worth checking out the correct score lines. The Spurs to claim a 117-109 victory is available at huge odds. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly. San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Odds The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication. Books Make Spurs Likelier Winners With the sportsbooks giving them a 66% probability of winning this NBA game, San Antonio Spurs might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their 1.52 Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to back Minnesota Timberwolves, you will find 2.62 about the underdogs. The current spread is 4.5 and the total points line is 218.5. Basketball fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. If you're keen on Over 218.5, this selection is available at 1.91. There are a wide range of team props and game lines when it comes to wagering on this exciting league and we recommend visiting the best basketball sportsbooks to find the wager that matches your view on the contest. Betting Lines & Odds Victor Wembanyama Favorite to Get Most Points Victor Wembanyama is the favorite to score most points. He is priced at 1.82 to score Over 26.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at 1.94. Player Points Player Assists Player Rebounds Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly. Target Center Wolves Hold Six Wins in Previous Ten at Home The Wolves are 6-4 in their last 10 home games, putting up 109.80 points per contest and giving up 108.70. The Spurs own a 8-2 mark in their past 10 games away from home, putting up 122.30 points per contest and giving up 107.50. The Wolves defeated the Spurs 114-109 when the teams last met at Target Center. Across the last 10 head-to-head meetings at Target Center, the Wolves have come out on top eight times, with the Spurs having two wins. Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O218.5 U218.5 Minnesota Timberwolves Home Stats 6-4 218.50 109.80 108.70 4 6 San Antonio Spurs Away Stats 8-2 229.80 122.30 107.50 8 2 W-L = Wins-Losses P = Avg. Points PF = Avg. Points For PA = Avg. Points Against O218.5 = Games Over 218.5 Points U218.5 = Games Under 218.5 Points Team Stats Latest regular season and playoff games stats. San Antonio Spurs Stats Minnesota Timberwolves Stats Moneyline 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games on the road Moneyline 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games Point Spread -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games -4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road Point Spread +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games +4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games Total Points Game Totals: An average of 216.50 pts in the previous 10 games Game Totals on the Road: An average of 229.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road Over 218.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games Over 218.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road Team Totals: Have scored an average of 114.70 pts and allowed 101.80 pts in the last 10 games Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 122.30 pts and allowed 107.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road Total Points Game Totals: An average of 219.90 pts in the previous 10 games Game Totals at Home: An average of 218.50 pts in the previous 10 home games Over 218.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games Over 218.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games Team Totals: Have scored an average of 108.50 pts and allowed 111.40 pts in the last 10 games Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 109.80 pts and allowed 108.70 pts in the last 10 home games Team Stats - Avg/Game Last 10 Games 2-Pointers Made: 29.50 (55%) 3-Pointers Made: 11.90 (37%) Free Throws Made: 20.00 (77.22%) Rebounds: Total 46.3, Offensive 11.10, Defensive 35.20 Assists: 24.40 Blocks: 7.70 Steals: 9.00 Turnovers : 13.40 Personal Fouls: 23.00 Last 10 Games on the Road 2-Pointers Made: 31.00 (58%) 3-Pointers Made: 13.50 (36%) Free Throws Made: 19.80 (80.49%) Rebounds: Total 48.7, Offensive 11.80, Defensive 36.90 Assists: 29.30 Blocks: 6.20 Steals: 8.70 Turnovers : 12.60 Personal Fouls: 19.30 Team Stats - Avg/Game Last 10 Games 2-Pointers Made: 29.50 (50%) 3-Pointers Made: 10.30 (34%) Free Throws Made: 18.60 (74.7%) Rebounds: Total 47.4, Offensive 12.90, Defensive 34.50 Assists: 23.30 Blocks: 3.60 Steals: 6.10 Turnovers : 14.30 Personal Fouls: 24.50 Last 10 Home Games 2-Pointers Made: 29.30 (50%) 3-Pointers Made: 10.40 (31%) Free Throws Made: 20.00 (79.37%) Rebounds: Total 47.2, Offensive 14.50, Defensive 32.70 Assists: 24.30 Blocks: 5.90 Steals: 7.10 Turnovers : 12.80 Personal Fouls: 21.80 Starting Lineups Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games. Previous San Antonio Spurs Lineups 13 May NBA Playoffs Timberwolves 97-126 Spurs 11 May NBA Playoffs Spurs 109-114 Timberwolves 09 May NBA Playoffs Spurs 115-108 Timberwolves 07 May NBA Playoffs Timberwolves 95-133 Spurs 05 May NBA Playoffs Timberwolves 104-102 Spurs 29 Apr NBA Playoffs Trail Blazers 95-114 Spurs 26 Apr NBA Playoffs Spurs 114-93 Trail Blazers 25 Apr NBA Playoffs Spurs 120-108 Trail Blazers 22 Apr NBA Playoffs Trail Blazers 106-103 Spurs 20 Apr NBA Playoffs Trail Blazers 98-111 Spurs Previous Minnesota Timberwolves Lineups 13 May NBA Playoffs Timberwolves 97-126 Spurs 11 May NBA Playoffs Spurs 109-114 Timberwolves 09 May NBA Playoffs Spurs 115-108 Timberwolves 07 May NBA Playoffs Timberwolves 95-133 Spurs 05 May NBA Playoffs Timberwolves 104-102 Spurs 01 May NBA Playoffs Nuggets 98-110 Timberwolves 28 Apr NBA Playoffs Timberwolves 113-125 Nuggets 26 Apr NBA Playoffs Nuggets 96-112 Timberwolves 24 Apr NBA Playoffs Nuggets 96-113 Timberwolves 21 Apr NBA Playoffs Timberwolves 119-114 Nuggets NBA Regular Season Table Select Season East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W 76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L 76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L

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